As we ready our FPL squads for the Gameweek 7 of the Premier League season, some players are naturally drawing our attention, be that due to an attractive cheap pricetag or indeed perceived opportunity. Here @FPLJesus brings us some players he believes are under-owned when both those factors are weighed, and also a few players who he feels are over-owned. Who should you buy, and who should you bin?

 

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Underowned – Buy

 

 

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Charlie Austin – £6.3m, 3.4% Owned

 

In Charlie Austin’s QPR days he was one of the Fantasy Premier League’s top strikers. A huge points return from a DGW in the 14/15 season embedded the English forward in FPL folklore. Many Fantasy managers subsequently brought him into their sides when news of his move to Southampton was confirmed last year. Unfortunately for those managers, timing, injury and two other strikers to compete with reduced Austin’s minutes in the FPL and his debut match winning goal against Man United ended up being his only points return of his first (half) season back in the FPL.

However, now enjoying greater playing time in the Saints squad Austin is enjoying something of a renaissance. After scoring the winner against Swansea in GW6, Austin started the away tie at West Ham for GW7. It was a massive coup for his small number of owners, a man of the match performance in a 3-0 away victory reminded us all just how lethal the striker can be. Austin scored a great goal and created another proving he can still be an asset in the premier league.

Scoring 18 goals in his first Premier League season, it could be argued Austin has fixture-proof qualities within his capability which will be encouragement for managers hunting a cheap differential striker.

 

 

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Theo Walcott – £7.6m, 4.6% Owned

 

Ever since Walcott went on a run playing as striker a number of years back (12/13) and scored 14 goals and 13 assists his potential in the FPL has been met with consistently underwhelming results. Despite playing games, creating chances and even scoring the odd goal, Walcott never seemed to score the points his owners felt they deserved.

Considering his perceived pedigree (no doubt overblown simply because hes English), it has been argued that in Fantasy game that Walcott isn’t worth the money. It certainly explains why his ownership remains low despite a great run of fixtures for Arsenal.

His numbers are unlikely to ever eclipse 12/13 but with similarly priced midfielders such as Ross Barkley irritating their owners, Walcott seems a perfect differential entry into a side in great form. With 3 goals and 2 assists in the seasons first 6 games, and the run of attractive fixtures set to continue (Burnley, Swansea, Boro the next 3) , Walcott has shown enough consistency to invite FPL selection once again.

 

 

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Marko Arnautovic – £7.2m, 1.1% Owned

 

Arguably the most consistent Stoke player in Fantasy Premier league seasons gone by, Arnautovic ownership has continued to sink this season week after week as Stoke underperforming slowly became a guarantee in the seasons opening matches.
Since Stoke are still without a win it seems counter productive to enlist a player from that side in ones fantasy team. However, despite an intensely poor start to the campaign, Stoke fixtures begin to ease up after GW7.

Sunderland and Swansea at home sandwich a trip to Hull in GW9, and these will be fixtures Mark Hughes will hope for maximum points to drag his side out of the relegation zone. An away trip to Man United in GW7 will be seen as write off by anyone with Stoke players but in 1.1% owned Arnautovic, there is an option most managers will ignore this
GW.

Differential hunters risk Arnautovic being exposed if he hits points at Old Trafford, something he has done in the past. Its true that success for the Austrian in GW7 wont affect the vast majority because ownership is so low, I still think there is a worthy punt in Arnautovic to be had knowing United’s defence isn’t very strong as their great many owners will attest to.

 

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Overowned – Sell

 

 

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Ben Foster – £4.7m, 16.9% Owned

 

While ditching a goalkeeper is never the first thing on any managers to do list unless their options are injured or benched, I think Ben Foster has matured as an FPL option.
A £0.2m rise suggests a reliable goalkeeper and £4.7m is still attractive enough a price to invite new managers to want to sign him up.

However, fixtures for the former England goalkeeper don’t read well for the immediate future. First, an away trip to Sunderland who will be fighting hard. They are yet to win a league game under David Moyes but they have only failed to score in one out of 6 league games so far. The real test of faith for Foster owners truly begins in GW8 as a run of matches against Leicester, Man City and Liverpool begins with a visit from currently unbeaten Spurs. I’d ditch now, especially if I was one of the managers who successfully banked £0.1m, I wouldn’t want to lose it.

 

 

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Leroy Fer – £5.3m, 10.5% Owned

 

Tipped in the first of these articles as a better £5m option than Kante, Fer has gone on to receive many admirers in the FPL this season. After a great start of 3 goals in his first 4 games, Fer was becoming a serious contender for long term FPL gains.
Despite remarkable consistency in that initial period, Swansea have not exactly proved themselves as serious contenders for the league title this season. If anything, relegation appears more realistic. Now without a win in 4, the Swans face Liverpool and Arsenal in their next two games.

This should be a serious concern to Fer owners hoping to earn another £0.1m on their small investment as players such as Robert Snodgrass offering equal consistency, a similar price but better fixtures and overall attacking potential appear in the market more frequently, value in the Dutchman will expire as quickly as it appeared.

 

 

 

Ross Barkley – £7.5m, 11.5% Owned

 

Some managers may not realise but in previous seasons Ross Barkley has started and ended well, but absolutely bombed in the Fantasy game in between.

As a player like Barkley begins a new season, it is every managers hope they can find the consistency that matches their talent. However, no matter how many times we see Barkley ping one in from the edge of the area and it hits the back of the net, it will never be one of several over a period of time.

When Barkley hit a goal and assist in his first two games, many hoped this would be his year and even though Everton have stared the season well, the young Barkley is waiting to add more contributions to his points total. Its a frustration for owners who are currently double what they were at the start of the season.

What may not be clear, is that Barkley has already risen and dropped in price this season, in fact, his owners nearly tripled from GW1-3 but sank rapidly after GW5 as owners realised they would lose value.

While Everton do have good fixtures, it makes little sense to hold on to Barkley when Romalu Lukaku is the clearest attacking threat in the Everton side, If i couldn’t afford him but wanted an Everton player, the £6.1m Yannick Bolasie offers the same threat as Barkley at a discounted price.

 

Have you played our FREE FPL ELITE 50 game yet?

Simply pick 5 players each gameweek, irrespective of price or position & be in the running for the monthly prize of an FPL T-shirt courtesy of FantasyFootballTshirts.co.uk?!

 

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