As we ready our FPL squads for the Gameweek 11 of the Premier League season, some players are naturally drawing our attention, be that due to an attractive cheap pricetag or indeed perceived opportunity. Here @FPLJesus brings us some players he believes are under-owned when both those factors are weighed, and also a few players who he feels are over-owned. Who should you buy, and who should you sell?
Underowned – Buy
Ilkay Gundogan – 8% Owned, £5.6m
Peps first signing as Man City boss, Ilkay Gundogan was injured for the first part of the season but since recovering back to full strength the German international has made an impressive goal scoring impact for his new side.
260, 000 people have signed up the midfielder since his GW10 brace, triggering price and value increases for early recruiters. This is definitely reminiscent of past bandwagon behaviours but with interest in Man City tactics at an all time high, many have speculated on the long term role for Gundogan and if it will benefit managers in the fantasy game long term to bring him in.
The stats are promising though when Gundogan’s cheap price of £5.6m is also considered, the former Dortmund man has created 9 chances, taken 7 shots, 3 of which were on target in the last 3 gameweeks. For a 5th midfielder playing well in a top side, these numbers will be too good to ignore while popular options Etienne Capoue and injured Robert Snodgrass continue to shed owners.
With a home game upcoming against newly promoted Middlesbrough in the next gameweek before very winnable matches against Crystal Palace and Burnley away in the following two, the chances of points from Gundogan seem a decent bet although prepare for serious bandwagon level transfers in if he hits as managers will begin to chase the value.
Wilfried Bony – £7.3m, 1.2% Owned
Having shown prolific form in previous seasons for Swansea, it was only a matter of time before the Ivorian found his shooting boots at his new club Stoke.
Often overlooked by critics, Bony made the decision to play football every week for a mid table side instead of making infrequent appearances for a team potentially fighting for champions league glory. It at least shows the hunger to play is there, which is why several weeks a go I tipped him to succeed in one of these articles. Stoke were still under performing however and the tip didn’t quite meet its potential.
As we enter November Stoke have found new confidence and count three wins on the bounce, the last one courtesy of a man of the match performance and brace from Bony himself. With Stoke about to play West Ham, Bournemouth and Burnley in three of the next four, all leaking goals and all proving more inconsistent than Stoke at the moment, the timing now looks right for Bony.
With Arnoutovic suspended and Xhakiri injured for GW11 Stoke will need a goal from somewhere, and Bony has the potential to score in any game.
Andre Gray – £6.2m, 3.1% Owned
Controversy and suspension now behind the Burnley front man, its time for Andre Gray to let his football do the talking. A goal scoring machine for Burnley in their promotion campaign, he won the Chanmpionship’s Golden boot with 23 goals. Many hoped he would replicate Charlie Austin, Jamie Vardy and Harry Kane before him who all offered huge goal returns in the past from modest prices but despite impressive early ownership circumstances removed him as an FPL option.
Now at 6.2m, managers looking to upgrade the suspended Diomonde or simply downgrade a misfiring option such as Troy Deeney may want to take a second look at Andre Gray.
Grays involvement in Burnley’s goals this season when playing stands currently at two thirds. Admittedly, Burnley are the poorest in the league in terms of finances but if a Man City, Arsenal or Chelsea player was involved in two thirds of all their goals they would likely be in every fantasy team.
Burnley’s next two opponents are Crystal Palace who are yet to keep a clean sheet this season and West Brom, who conceded four goals in their last home game. Burnley have enjoyed some decent results this season and could be considered favourites in both of these games, its certainly likely they will score some goals, and with Andre Gray back among the options, he is a differential striker with a great record with lot to prove.
Overowned – Sell
Antonio Valencia – £5.5m, 8.9% Owned
It came as a surprise to many when it was announced with the United lineup at the weekend that Valencia was injured with a broken arm and needed surgery with the current recovery period expected to be a month at least.
This is a blow to me personally an owner of the Ecuadorian as a month is obviously too long for a top end defender to stay sidelined on my fantasy bench.
Owners will have to find a replacement immediately as with 8.9% holding on there is a serious likelihood of more price drops during the month he’s out of action. Over 100,000 have ditched the right back already in time for gamewek 11, and with options like Holebas, Clyne and Fuchs enjoying runs of good form and fixtures its easy to see why.
Jordi Amat – £4.1m, 13.6% Owned
In the world of bargain basement defenders Jordi Amat was a brilliantly cheap £4m and started in 4 of the Swans first 5 games.
Despite not scoring big points, a GW1 clean sheet and subsequent appearances at centre back for Swansea meant Amat was a brilliant 5th defender option to fill in for managers when called upon.
However, a nailed on starting position is a luxury Amat no longer affords. Missing from the side in the last 2 Swansea games, new manager Bob Bradley appears to be looking to replace Amat as a key Swansea CB. This development cost Amat owners some points when Swansea achieved a rare clean sheet in GW9.
With Man United, Everton and Spurs all facing Swansea before GW15, the chances Amat will deliver anything for his owners even if he is recalled to the lineup seem slim.
Kasper Schmeichel – £5m, 8.5% Owned
With Leicester City about to embark on a kind run of fxtures, the quality of their back line has taken an unwelcome jolt with the news that Kasper Schmeichel has been ruled out for a month with a hand injury.
This will be devestating to his owners as well as those who jumped on the Leicester defence in anticipation of the good run of games. However the new signing Robert Ron Zieler, (£4.4m and 0.3% owned) will come in to replace him. And what a differential he looks set to be. I think Schmeichel owners might have found a decent replacement in Zieler whose cheap price and low ownership will tempt many, particularly those who missed the Heaton boat but want to offload someone like Mandanda or Foster.
Of course Heaton is affordable for the 8.5% of people who still own Schmeichel but with managers often waiting to free up transfers, there is limited benefit holding on to the 4 points keeps an injured man in the squad.
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