As we ready our FPL squads for the Gameweek 12 of the Premier League season, some players are naturally drawing our attention, be that due to an attractive cheap pricetag or indeed perceived opportunity. Here @FPLJesus brings us some players he believes are under-owned when both those factors are weighed, and also a few players who he feels are over-owned. Who should you buy, and who should you sell?
Underowned – Buy
Matt Philips – £5.1m, 0.2% Owned
Tipped preseason as a potential bargain, Philips owners were banking on the reputation he built as a relegated QPR player but having scored 3 and assisted 8 in his most recent FPL season there was reason to be hopeful as long as he hit the ground running. It didn’t materialise while other bargain players took the season by storm and owners have been ditching Philips ever since. However I believe that trend should be reversed.
Philips has now hit 3 assists for his new club and scored his first goal in GW12. This could be interpreted as the player finally finding his rhythm and after an inconsistent start to the season for the Baggies, recruiters should repay some attention with the West Brom fixtures looking winnable for the next 3 gameweeks. Burnley, Hull and Watford face Tony Pulis’ side and it seems wise to recruit someone from their squad. With flags on the striker Rondon and midfielder Nacer Chadli, managers may want a safer bet for the gameweek ahead.
Chris Brunt – £4.9m, 0.1% Owned
As well as having decent attack potential for the next 3 gameweeks, West Brom look set to benefit in defence as well. Chris Brunt is a defender currently playing in midfield for the Baggies offering a rare opportunity to recruit a player in a midfield role who also banks clean sheet points.
Brunt has only managed 90 minutes in the last 2 games and only counts 4 league appearances in total so far but the potential despite the fitness risks are undeniable. Selected by just 0.1% of managers suggests Brunt is still very much a secret weapon for managers to take a look at.
Hitting 10 assists in the 2014/15 season is Brunt’s best stat but having talent on set pieces will also encourage owners to sign him. I’m surprised more haven’t considering his upcoming fixtures.
Ahmed Musa – £7m, 4.6% Owned
Despite rotation risks as Leicester prioritise European football this season, Ahmed Musa has begun to contribute points in the FPL. 18 points from his last 3 games suggests consistency while achieving those numbers without completing 90 minutes implies a potency managers will be looking for as the fixtures start to avoid unwelcome two week interruptions.
Leicester have Watford (a) Middlesbrough (h) and Sunderland (a) in their next three games, all leaking goals and favourites for defeat going into their tests against the current title holders. Its likely these sides will know how Leicester operate, but in Musa the Champions can offer something different, and the Nigerian has been a decent option for Leicester in recent weeks.
Musa is a strong differential in a side capable of performing actual miracles but Leicester still haven’t gone on a run of victories yet this season although the upcoming fixtures do offer potential for that. With Mahrez and Vardy looking flat compared to last season it could be time for Leicester to introduce a new FPL hero.
Overowned – Sell
Hector Bellerin – £6.6m, 24% Owned
It was confirmed this week that Hector Bellerin will be out for a month overcoming an ankle injury making a quarter of teams a defender light for the upcoming gameweek.
If i was an owner i’d be looking to ditch quickly as £6.6m is a fee that can only drop while the player is out of action.
To offer perspective on the need to remove Bellerin quickly, no other defender in the FPL costs as much as the Spaniard. If the most expensive striker in the game, Aguero got injured, his ownership would have halved before he’d been stretchered off. Replacing Bellerin won’t be too hard, any defender is affordable to owners hunting replacements. Its unfortunate for Arsenal too losing a player of such quality, however, these things happen and owners will have to deal with it.
Jordan Pickford – £4.1m, 13% Owned
With reports of Vito Mannone returning to full fitness nearly two weeks old, it would be reasonable to expect that Jordan Pickford’s minutes are about to be culled.
Although Pickford is expected to start in the next game, Mannone’s return is pencilled in for GW13. Owners of Pickford with a free transfer to use may want to save it for the Sunderland man between now and the next gameweek. At 13% owned, many will likely move him to number 2, but by removing him completely managers with Pickford in their ranks will remove the hassle of owning a non-playing option.
Despite the bargain price, Pickford has been mostly ineffective as an FPL goalkeeper and owners are unlikely to miss him. Alternatives will be dearer but his replacement Mannone is currently an inviting 4.3m
Dimitri Payet – £9.3m, 10.8% Owned
Despite hitting 5 assists and a goal already this season, those contributions took place over just 4 games. West Ham have had a very concerning start to the season counting just two wins from their opening 11 fixtures. Its a concern for FPL owners currently being denied options they had available last season. After blanks in his last two games, Payet’s investment is starting to look a bit steep.
With a run of Spurs, Man United, Arsenal and Liverpool the Hammers next 4 fixtures it seems foolish to back any West Ham player on current form. While Payet commands superlatives such as ‘fixture proof’ and ‘world class’ it still makes little sense keeping £9.3m invested while Chelsea, Liverpool, Arsenal and Man City all contain in-form options hitting points and rising in value.
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